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Fort Knox, the golden sanctuary where America hides its reserves, is suddenly in the spotlight. Donald Trump promises to uncover its secrets. Prediction markets are going wild: bets on an audit before May 2025 are skyrocketing to 70%. Between skepticism and speculative fever, one question looms: what do the walls of this legendary bunker really hide?
The awakening of a myth
On February 19, Trump drops a media bomb: “We will check if the gold is there.” A terse statement, but loaded with implications. Behind this announcement lies an astonishing mix of unlikely actors: the blog ZeroHedge, libertarian senator Rand Paul, and Elon Musk, who has just unveiled his Grok 3, always on the lookout for upheavals. This trio transforms a simple bureaucratic routine into a real financial thriller, captivating attention and fueling speculation.
Why this obsession? The last audit dates back to 1974. Half a century of opacity. Trump, as a pragmatic showman, plays on two fronts: reassuring traditionalists and enticing crypto-anarchists. “If there is no gold, we will be very disappointed,” he hints, between threat and confidence. A phrase that makes the markets tremble.
The crypto community rejoices. For them, Fort Knox symbolizes everything Bitcoin rejects: opacity, centralization, blind trust. “Gold can lie, the blockchain cannot,” forums proclaim. A cruel irony: the audit of an ancestral metal inadvertently becomes a marketing argument for digital assets.
Prediction Markets: The Fever of Digital Gold
On Polymarket, a crypto betting platform, the event is selling like hotcakes. Odds are rising in real-time: 64% chance of an audit before May, 17% for missing reserves. Dry numbers, but revealing a latent distrust. Every dollar bet is a vote against the status quo.
In the shadows, Kalshi, Polymarket’s rival, is preparing its counter-offensive. Brandon Beckhardt, head of growth, promises operational markets by February 20. The race is on: who will capture the collective anxiety better than the other? The platforms are turning uncertainty into a financial product. A dangerous game, but profitable.
Meanwhile, the XRP ETF 2025 sees its approval odds jump to 81% on the same markets. Coincidence? Not really. The Fort Knox audit acts as a catalyst, revealing a thirst for transparency that benefits assets continuously audited.
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Fascinated by Bitcoin since 2017, Evariste has continuously researched the subject. While his initial interest was in trading, he now actively seeks to understand all advances centered on cryptocurrencies. As an editor, he strives to consistently deliver high-quality work that reflects the state of the sector as a whole.
DISCLAIMER
The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed in this article belong solely to the author, and should not be taken as investment advice. Do your own research before taking any investment decisions.
